City skylines need an upgrade in the face of climate stress

City skylines need an upgrade in the face of climate stress

Sunset, nature, city, twilight, urban landscape, horizon line, living nature, urban, skyscrapers, natural, cityscape, skyline, city center, city lights, structures, building, towers, city, city, city, city, city, cityscape by soultrain via pixabay

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City skylines need an upgrade in the face of climate stress

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By Mohamed Shaheen, Loughborough University

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The downtown district of Hong Kong city.
Lee Yiu Tung/Shutterstock

 

When structural engineers design a building, they aren’t just stacking floors; they are calculating how to win a complex battle against nature. Every building is built to withstand a specific “budget” of environmental stress – the weight of record snowfalls, the push of powerful winds and the expansion caused by summer heat.

To do this, engineers use hazard maps and safety codes. These are essentially rulebooks based on decades of historical weather data. They include safety margins to ensure that even if a small part of a building fails, the entire structure won’t come crashing down like a house of cards.

The problem is that these rulebooks are becoming obsolete. Most of our iconic high-rises were built in the 1970s and 80s – a world that was cooler, with more predictable tides and less violent storms. Today, that world no longer exists.

Climate change acts as a threat multiplier, making the consequences of environmental stress on buildings much worse. It rarely knocks a building down on its own. Instead, it finds the tiny cracks, rusting support beams and ageing foundations and pushes them toward a breaking point. It raises the intensity of every load and strain a building must weather.

To understand the challenge, I have been studying global hotspots where the environment is winning the battle against engineering.

The 2021 collapse of Champlain Towers South in Miami, Florida, killed 98 people. While the 12-storey building had original design issues, decades of rising sea levels and salty coastal air acted as a catalyst, allowing saltwater to seep into the basement and garage.

When salt reaches the steel rods inside concrete that provide structural strength (known as reinforcement), the metal rusts and expands. This creates massive internal pressure that cracks the concrete from the inside out — a process engineers call spalling. The lesson is clear: in a warming world, coastal basements are becoming corrosion chambers where minor maintenance gaps can escalate into catastrophic structural failure.

While the Miami case affected a single building, the historic coastal city of Alexandria, Egypt, is more widely at risk. Recent research shows that building collapses there have jumped from one per year to nearly 40 per year in the past few years.

Not only is the sea rising, the salt is liquefying the soft ground beneath the city foundations. As the water table rises, saltwater is pushed under the city, raising the groundwater level. This salty water doesn’t just rust the foundations of buildings; it changes the chemical and physical structure of soil. As a result, there are currently 7,000 buildings in Alexandria at high risk of collapse.

white sail boat on blue sea with city skyline in background
The historic city of Alexandria, Egypt, is widely affected by the retreating coastline.
muratart/Shutterstock

In Hong Kong during Super Typhoon Mangkhut in 2018, wind speeds hit a terrifying 180 miles per hour. When strong winds hit a wall of skyscrapers, they squeeze between the buildings and speed up — like water sprayed through a narrow garden hose.

This pressure turned hundreds of offices into wind tunnels, causing glass windows to pop out of their frames and raining broken glass onto the streets below. With 82 deaths and 15,000 homes destroyed across the region, skyscrapers became “debris machines”, even if they didn’t fully collapse.

Supercomputer simulations of Japan’s river systems show that in a world warmed by 2°C, floods of today’s “once in a century” magnitude could recur about every 45 years. With 4°C of warming, they could be every 23 years. These surges in water volume will expand flood zones into areas previously considered safe, potentially overflowing sea walls and flood defences. In a critical region like Osaka Bay, storm surges could rise by nearly 30%.

In the US, a study of 370 million property records from 1945 to 2015 found over half of all structures are in hazard hotspots. Nearly half are facing multiple threats like earthquakes, floods, hurricanes and tornadoes. In the UK, climate-driven weather claims hit £573 million in 2023, a 36% rise from 2022. Annual flood damage to non-residential properties in the UK is also projected to nearly double from £2 billion today to £3.9 billion by the 2080s.

Maintenance is our best defence

Much of the world’s building stock is therefore entering its middle age under environmental conditions it was never designed to face. Instead of panicking or tearing everything down, the solution is to adapt and treat building maintenance as a form of climate resilience – not as an optional extra.

Mid-life building upgrades can help protect our skylines for the next 50 years. Our hazard maps must look at future climate models — not just historical weather — to set new safety standards. Regular structural health monitoring is essential – by using sensors to track invisible stresses in foundations and frames before they become fatal, dangerous situations can be foreseen.

Buildings can stay strong by focusing retrofits on the weakest and most vulnerable parts. This includes glass facades, the underground drainage, the foundation piles and corrosion protection.

Climate change isn’t rewriting the laws of engineering, but it is rapidly eating away at our margins of safety. If we want our cities to remain standing, we must act now – before small, invisible stresses accumulate into irreversible failure.


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Mohamed Shaheen, Lecturer in Structural Engineering, Loughborough University

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

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Sustainability and resilience

Sustainability and resilience

Three wind turbines silhouetted on a hill at sunset, showcasing renewable energy on a dramatic landscape. By Diogo Miranda via pexels

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Sustainability and resilience

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February 3, 2026 in On-Site

  • By Jafar Rashidi, Senior Technical Services Specialist, Chryso Canada
  • Lisa Barnard, LEED AP, WELL AP, Chryso North America

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Balancing carbon reduction with long-term durability, construction is turning to advanced concrete admixtures to build safer, stronger and more sustainable infrastructure.

The industry is increasingly looking toward admixtures as a means to meet sustainability targets and goals. Image courtesy of Chryso North America.

Sustainability has become the construction industry’s defining challenge. From embodied carbon accounting to net-zero targets, contractors, designers and material suppliers are all grappling with ways to lower emissions while keeping projects on budget and on schedule. Concrete, as the world’s most widely used building material, sits at the centre of this conversation.

Cement, concrete’s binding ingredient, is responsible for roughly seven per cent of global CO2 emissions. For many stakeholders, it’s “the elephant in the room.” But the path forward is not about eliminating concrete, it’s about producing, specifying and using it smarter. That’s where admixtures deliver new solutions, helping to reduce cement content, improve performance and integrate new supplementary cementitious materials (SCM).

Yet, there’s a missing dimension in today’s sustainability dialogue: resilience. It’s not enough to focus only on reducing environmental harm. We must also ensure our structures can withstand hazards of fire, flood, wind and seismic events. In short, true sustainability requires resilience.

Admixture solutions cannot simply be environmentally sustainable, they must also be resilient enough to withstand natural hazards ans seismic events. Image courtesy of Chryso North America.

Resilience: the missing half of sustainability

In 2015, three landmark frameworks emerged from the United Nations: The Sustainable Development Goals, the Paris Agreement and the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction. While the first two frameworks have managed to capture widespread attention, the Sendai Framework, despite its direct relevance to our built environment, remains underutilized in mainstream construction dialogue.

Why does resilience matter? Because a “green” building that fails during the impacts of a wildfire or hurricane is not sustainable at all.

Rebuilding doubles the carbon footprint, displaces communities and disrupts economies. Data from Saint-Gobain’s Sustainable Construction Barometer underscores the shift: resilience is gaining traction globally, particularly in regions exposed to natural hazards. The percentage of respondents prioritizing resilience to climatic events jumped to 21 per cent, the largest increase recorded to date.

Concrete plays a central role here. Its inherent fire resistance, structural integrity under seismic stress and durability in water and wind-prone regions make it indispensable for resilient construction. From seismic-resistant foundations in Mexico City to hurricane-rated walls in Florida, concrete continues to prove itself as one of the most hazard-resilient materials available.

The Canadian Climate Institute reports that every dollar spent today on climate adaptation can return $13 to $15 in direct and indirect benefits over time. For the construction industry, investing in resilient infrastructure isn’t just smart planning – it’s a long-term gain for both communities and the economy.

Chryso Convert C, transforms returned plastic concrete into a dry, hardened, granular state, making it easy to handle and reuse. Image courtesy of Chryso North America.

A lever for carbon reduction

In practice, a sustainable concrete mix should look and perform just like a conventional one. The difference lies in how it is optimized behind the scenes. The goal is to minimize the carbon footprint by reducing cement, maximizing SCMs and using local resources. Admixtures are the enablers of this shift, unlocking multiple pathways to cut carbon without compromising performance.

Four strategies illustrate how:

  1. Cement reduction through strength enhancers

Admixtures like strength enhancers enable producers to achieve equal or greater performance with less cement. High-range water reducers and like EnviroMix SE deliver early and late strength gains of 2.4–4.0 MPa, allowing up to 10 per cent cement reduction without compromising quality.

  1. Maximizing SCM use

Supplementary cementitious materials, including metakaolin and waste-stream products, are increasingly used. Admixtures offset challenges like slower strength gain or higher water demand, enabling greater cement replacement while maintaining performance.

  1. Optimizing local materials

Declining access to high-quality sand drives the use of manufactured and marginal local sands. Admixtures, such as the ChrysoQuad line, improve workability, reduce variability and lower transport emissions.

  1. Enabling circular economy practices

Products like ChrysoConvert C recycle returned concrete into usable aggregates. Together, these strategies lower carbon while maintaining performance.

Admixtures present a lever for contractors to achieve carbon reductions. Image courtesy of Chryso North America.

Performance under extreme conditions

In Canada, sustainability solutions cannot be divorced from performance. Alberta illustrates this reality vividly. With temperatures swinging from -30°C in the winter to +30°C in the summer, producers face unique challenges: hot, dry and windy conditions in summer lead to plastic shrinkage cracking and rapid slump loss, while extreme cold creates curing difficulties.

Effective curing has long been a challenge in this region, and concrete mixes must be designed to maintain durability across these extremes.

Canadian standards provide clear guidance on these challenges. The National Building Code of Canada (NBCC) requires that concrete structures are designed for expected temperature ranges, wind loads and snow/water loads over their intended service life. Additionally, CSA A23.1 cold weather and hot weather concreting guidelines set limits on concrete placement, curing methods and admixture use to maintain performance in extreme climates.

Admixtures are essential to meeting these demands. They extend slump life, improve finishability and support mixes that achieve reliable strength gain even under punishing conditions. In addition to workability control, durability remains a central requirement in the Canadian climate. Air-entraining agents play a critical role by creating an engineered air-void system with proper spacing factor and distribution. This controlled microstructure allows internal pressure relief during freeze–thaw cycles and improves resistance to salt scaling – a major durability concern in regions where de-icing salts are widely used. Crucially, sustainable concrete must look and act like conventional concrete. Contractors should not have to compromise workability or strength in exchange for carbon savings. By tailoring mixes with advanced admixtures, we can ensure that sustainability and performance are aligned, even in one of the world’s most demanding climates.

Admixtures must perform in extreme Canadian conditions. Image courtesy of Chryso North America.

Resilience tools: building resilience index

Material science, however, is only half the picture. Measuring resilience in a systematic way is equally important if we are to balance carbon reduction with long-term durability. This is where tools like the Building Resilience Index (BRI), developed by the International Finance Corporation, come in.

Unlike green certifications that focus mainly on mitigation, BRI evaluates a building’s ability to withstand four major hazards: wind, water, fire and geoseismic activity. A sustainable concrete mix must never mean weaker concrete. With advanced admixtures – strength enhancers, water reducers and SCM-enabling technologies – we can lower carbon while ensuring structures perform under extreme conditions.

While BRI provides a useful global framework, the concept of resilience takes on a unique urgency in Canada. The country already faces some of the most aggressive climate stressors in the developed world: record wildfire seasons in British Columbia and Alberta, catastrophic flooding in Quebec and New Brunswick, coastal erosion in Atlantic Canada and accelerated freeze-thaw deterioration in the Prairie provinces due to increasing temperature variability. These events have triggered a national shift from reactive repair to proactive resilience engineering, not only for buildings, but also for highways, water systems, transit networks and energy infrastructure.

Unlike many countries that rely solely on voluntary sustainability programs, Canada is formalizing resilience in codes, policy and public procurement. The Climate Resilient Buildings and Core Public Infrastructure (CRBCPI) initiative, led by the National Research Council of Canada (NRC), has introduced engineering guidance that goes beyond historical weather data by using future climate models that project performance over a 50 to 75-year service life. The goal is to design for evolving climate loads, more severe freeze–thaw cycles, higher rainfall intensity, wildfire heat exposure and longer durability expectations, all of which have direct implications for concrete specification and mix design.

As a practical outcome, resilience is now embedded in Canadian construction standards. The CSA S6:25 Canadian Highway Bridge Design Code requires climate resilience assessments and hydrological risk modeling. CSA A23.1/A23.2 concrete standards emphasize exposure class–based durability, stable air-void structure and resistance to chloride penetration and sulphate attack, critical for marine, transportation and northern construction environments. Provinces like Ontario and British Columbia now include resilience criteria in public infrastructure tenders, meaning ready-mix producers and specifiers must demonstrate durability performance, not just compressive strength.

Canada also recognizes that resilience is not only a materials issue – it’s a societal and economic priority. Through the federal Disaster Mitigation and Adaptation Fund (DMAF), resilience metrics are now tied to eligibility for major infrastructure funding. In Northern Canada and Indigenous communities, climate resilience strategies prioritize reliable performance in extreme environments where permafrost movement, remoteness and short construction windows present unique engineering challenges. In these regions, the durability of concrete relies heavily on technology-enabled mix designs, including low-temperature accelerators, shrinkage-reducing admixtures and engineered air-entrainment systems that improve resistance to freeze-thaw damage and surface scaling.

Image courtesy of Chryso North America.

A holistic view: sustainability + resilience

The conversation should not pit carbon reduction against resilience. In fact, they reinforce each other. Durable structures mean fewer rebuilds, avoiding the “hidden carbon” of reconstruction. Concrete, properly designed with admixtures, can meet both mandates: lowering embodied carbon while delivering superior resilience.

The construction sector is entering a new era. Net-zero goals remain urgent, but they must be paired with resilience benchmarks to ensure buildings can withstand tomorrow’s hazards. Tools like BRI, combined with admixture-driven low-carbon solutions, offer a way forward.

For the Canadian construction industry, success will depend on collaboration between engineers, producers and policymakers. And with the right technologies and mindset, we can build a future that is not only lower carbon but also stronger, safer and more resilient.

Concrete Construction Construction Materials Green Construction Infrastructure Institutional Leadership LEED Risk Management

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Global population living with extreme heat expected to double by 2050

Global population living with extreme heat expected to double by 2050

A vast aerial view of a densely populated urban residential area with diverse building types. By Ludvig Hedenborg via pexels

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Global population living with extreme heat expected to double by 2050

Global population living with extreme heat to double by 2050

Global mean HDDs for three global warming scenarios. Credit: Nature Sustainability (2026). DOI:10.1038/s41893-025-01754-y

A new University of Oxford study finds that almost half of the global population (3.79 billion) will be living with extreme heat by 2050 if the world reaches 2.0°C of global warming above pre-industrial levels—a scenario that climate scientists see as increasingly likely.

Most of the impacts will be felt early on as the world passes the 1.5°C target set by the Paris Agreement, the authors warn. In 2010, 23% of the world’s population lived with extreme heat, and this is set to grow to 41% over the next decades.

Regions and populations most at risk

Published in Nature Sustainability, the findings have grave implications for humanity. The Central African Republic, Nigeria, South Sudan, Laos, and Brazil are predicted to see the most significant increases in dangerously hot temperatures, while the largest affected populations will be in India, Nigeria, Indonesia, Bangladesh, Pakistan, and the Philippines.

Countries with colder climates will see a much larger relative change in uncomfortably hot days, more than doubling in some cases.

Compared with the 2006–2016 period, when the global mean temperature increase reached 1°C over pre-industrial levels, the study finds that warming to 2°C would lead to a doubling in Austria and Canada, 150% in the UK, Sweden, Finland, 200% in Norway, and a 230% increase in Ireland.

Infrastructure and adaptation challenges

Given that the built environment and infrastructure in these countries are predominantly designed for cold conditions, even a moderate increase in temperature is likely to have disproportionately severe impacts compared with regions that have greater resources, adaptive capacity, and embodied capital to manage heat.

Lead author, Dr. Jesus Lizana, Associate Professor in Engineering Science, said, “Our study shows most of the changes in cooling and heating demand occur before reaching the 1.5ºC threshold, which will require significant adaptation measures to be implemented early on. For example, many homes may need air conditioning to be installed in the next five years, but temperatures will continue to rise long after that if we hit 2.0 of global warming.

“To achieve the global goal of net-zero carbon emissions by 2050, we must decarbonize the building sector while developing more effective and resilient adaptation strategies.”

Dr. Radhika Khosla, Associate Professor at the Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment and leader of the Oxford Martin Future of Cooling Programme, added, “Our findings should be a wake-up call. Overshooting 1.5°C of warming will have an unprecedented impact on everything from education and health to migration and farming. Net zero sustainable development remains the only established path to reversing this trend for ever hotter days. It is imperative politicians regain the initiative towards it.”

Energy demand and new climate data

The projected increase in extreme heat will also lead to a significant rise in energy demand for cooling systems and corresponding emissions, while demand for heating in countries like Canada and Switzerland will decrease.

The study also includes an open-source dataset of global heating and cooling demand, comprising 30 global maps at ≈60km resolution that capture climate intensity in “cooling degree days” and “heating degree days” worldwide. This dataset provides a strong foundation for incorporating accessible climate data into sustainability planning and development policy.

Publication details

Lizana, J. et al, Global gridded dataset of heating and cooling degree days under climate change scenarios. Nature Sustainability (2026). DOI: 10.1038/s41893-025-01754-y www.nature.com/articles/s41893-025-01754-y

Journal information: Nature Sustainability

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Tourism offers a golden opportunity for MENA countries

Tourism offers a golden opportunity for MENA countries

We must completely change the way we build

We must completely change the way we build

The Sawa residential building in Rotterdam, the Netherlands, is made from wood – Hollandse Hoogte/Shutterstock

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We must completely change the way we build homes to stay below 2°C

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By Michael Le Page in New Scientist

14 January 2026

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Construction generates between 10 and 20 per cent of the world’s greenhouse gas emissions, but cities can slash their climate impact by designing buildings in a more efficient way

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Cities must reduce greenhouse gas emissions from the construction of buildings and infrastructure by more than 90 per cent in the next two to four decades if the world is to avoid warming of more than 2°C. That means radical changes are needed in the design of buildings, or what they are built from, or both.

“Canada wants to triple its rate of housing construction. The US has a housing deficit, Australia has a housing deficit, [and so does] basically every country you go to right now,” says Shoshanna Saxe at the University of Toronto, Canada. “How do we build so much more while also demanding that we pollute so much less?”

Yet this is achievable, Saxe thinks. “We’re already building buildings that meet these targets; we just have to build more of the good and less of the bad,” she says. “We’ve had these skills and this knowledge for decades; we just have to use it.”

Globally, construction generates between 10 and 20 per cent of all greenhouse gas emissions, with much of that due to the production of cement. To get these emissions down, countries and cities need to know their current construction emissions and then plan how to reduce them in line with global targets.

But when Saxe’s team was asked to do this for the city of Toronto, the researchers were surprised to find that very few studies have attempted to estimate construction emissions on a city level.

“So we decided to come up with a way of getting a rough estimate of how much cities are emitting when they build buildings and infrastructure, and then also how much they could emit in the future to stay within climate limits,” says team member Keagan Rankin, also at the University of Toronto.

Rankin did this for 1033 cities by combining an existing model used to estimate the environmental impact of products over their lifetime – known as EXIOBASE – with data on the population and growth of cities, construction investment and employment, and so on. “This is all available datasets, but he put them together in new ways that we haven’t seen anybody do,” says Saxe.

Finally, the team estimated how fast each city would need to cut construction emissions to stay in line with the remaining global carbon budget for 2°C. These numbers are crucial for planning, Saxe says, “You need to know what the budget per sector is.”

Cities will bust these budgets if they meet housing demand by building single-family homes, the analysis suggests. They need to focus on more efficient multi-unit housing.

Using different materials such as wood or recycled concrete can also help reduce emissions, but better design is even more important, says Saxe.

“It’s very popular to say we’ll just build wood buildings and that solves it,” she says. “But wood also has greenhouse gas emissions. It is only zero emissions if you make all kinds of really optimistic assumptions, including the rate of forestry growth.”

“It’s actually much more effective to design your buildings well so there’s not a lot of wasted space, and wasted structure,” says Saxe.

Rankin says that cities are well positioned to take action. “Cities are very willing to implement climate action, and when it comes to construction, they have a lot of control,” he says. “It’s just, like we found with Toronto, a lot of cities don’t have the resources to go and determine a budget.”

“Without reducing emissions from the construction sector, we cannot meet the Paris Agreement, even if we reduce other emissions to zero,” says Prajal Pradhan at the University of Groningen in the Netherlands. “In my view, it is helpful to view emissions from a city budget perspective.”

It is also important to design buildings to be low-emission over their entire lifetime, not just during construction, says Susan Roaf at Heriot Watt University in the UK, such as by allowing natural ventilation. “We cannot go on developing cities as they have been growing, riddled with super-polluting ‘zombie buildings’,” she says.

Cutting construction emissions also involves prioritising what is built, Saxe says. For instance, Canada is still constructing a huge amount of oil and gas infrastructure. “We could build new housing for 10 million people [without increasing emissions] if we dialled back how much construction we were putting into oil and gas,” she says.

Journal reference: Nature Cities DOI: 10.1038/s44284-025-00379-8

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